The Three-Year Premium Test
Your deductible is $1,000. The body shop estimates roughly $2,800 to fix the hail dimples across your hood and roof. You'd net approximately $1,800 from the claim.
The answer depends entirely on what happens to your premium. If your insurer raises your rate by roughly $600 annually after the claim, you'll pay approximately $1,800 in extra premiums over three years — close to what you'd receive from the claim. You break even. If the increase is higher, you lose money. If it's lower or nonexistent, filing makes sense.
This is the framework that actually works: claim payout minus deductible, compared against three years of premium increases. Not five years, not one year. Three years gives you enough time to shop for a new insurer if rates spike, but doesn't lock you into speculative math about what insurance might cost in 2028.

